Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 9 May the Primera B brings Real Cartagena against Union Magdalena. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Real Cartagena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 3 matches; Union Magdalena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Real Cartagena, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bogota FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Union Magdalena, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Barranquilla, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Mar 2026) it ended Real Cartagena 2–1 Union Magdalena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Cartagena 1.4 xG, Union Magdalena 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Cartagena 43%, draw 26%, Union Magdalena 31%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Cartagena 1–1 Union Magdalena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Cartagena43%fair 2.34 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.25
Union Magdalena31%fair 3.19 · @3.10
2.58Expected goals
1.43Real Cartagena xG
1.16Union Magdalena xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Real Cartagena 1.4 – 1.2 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
Attack vs Primera B average
+40%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.47
1.16
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena?
On our numbers Real Cartagena have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Union Magdalena 31%.
How many goals will there be in Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena?
Our predicted score is Real Cartagena 1–1 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena?
Real Cartagena vs Union Magdalena (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
