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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Khangarid v Deren: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Mongolia
2–1
FT
Khangarid 35%Draw 23%Deren 42% Expected goals 1.78 – 2.12
52%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.93 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeren to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.71
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.33

Khangarid vs Deren: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deren travel to face Khangarid on Saturday 9 May in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Khangarid are 4th on 34 points after 22 matches; Deren are 3rd with 45.

Current form

Khangarid, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Hunters, away. Scoring is no problem – 4.3 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Khangarid 1.8 xG, Deren 2.1 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Khangarid 35%, draw 23%, Deren 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (52%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Khangarid 1–2 Deren. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Khangarid35%fair 2.82 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.70
Deren42%fair 2.38 · @2.30
3.89Expected goals
1.78Khangarid xG
2.12Deren xG
59%Both score
75%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%

From our goals model: Khangarid 1.8 – 2.1 Deren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeren to win ✗42%2.382.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.71–
Draw no betDeren (draw no bet) ✗54%1.85–
Asian handicapKhangarid +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.931.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
First team to scoreDeren to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultDeren ahead at half-time ✗37%2.68–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deren / FT Deren ✗29%3.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.33–

Recent results

Khangarid – last 3

WWW
7 May@ Hunters2–0W
2 Mayvs Khoromkhon6–2W
26 Aprvs Ulaangom City5–1W
4.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Deren – last 2

WW
7 Mayvs Ulaangom City7–1W
3 May@ Khovd Western5–1W
6.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Khangarid and Deren.

Khangarid vs Deren head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ulaanbaatar161321+5641
2Central Stallions161231+4039
3Khangarid161033+4033
4Deren16934+4130
5Hunters16736+1724
6Khovd Western16538-718
7Khovd164012-4512
8Khoromkhon162014-596
9Ulaangom City161114-834
10Falcons000000

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Khangarid vs Deren?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Khangarid vs Deren?

On our numbers Khangarid have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deren 42%.

How many goals will there be in Khangarid vs Deren?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Khangarid vs Deren?

Our predicted score is Khangarid 1–2 Deren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Khangarid vs Deren?

Khangarid vs Deren (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.