Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultUlaanbaatar to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.65
Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Premier League brings Ulaanbaatar against Khangarid. Kick-off: 08:00 WAT. In the table, Ulaanbaatar are 1st on 54 points after 23 matches; Khangarid are 4th with 34. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Khangarid, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deren, at home. The attack is flying at 3.8 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ulaanbaatar 2.9 xG, Khangarid 1.4 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 81% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ulaanbaatar 61%, draw 18%, Khangarid 21%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ulaanbaatar to win (61%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ulaanbaatar 2–1 Khangarid. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ulaanbaatar61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw18%fair 5.68 · @4.00
Khangarid21%fair 4.74 · @2.80
4.33Expected goals
2.91Ulaanbaatar xG
1.42Khangarid xG
60%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–18%
2–26%
4–16%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Ulaanbaatar 2.9 – 1.4 Khangarid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ulaanbaatar to win✓
61%
1.63
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
–
Draw no bet
Ulaanbaatar (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Ulaanbaatar -1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
First team to score
Ulaanbaatar to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Ulaanbaatar ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ulaanbaatar / FT Ulaanbaatar✓
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.65
–
Recent results
Ulaanbaatar – last 2
WW
6 May
vs Khovd Western
3–0
W
25 Apr
vs Khovd
4–1
W
3.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Khangarid – last 4
WWWW
9 May
vs Deren
2–1
W
7 May
@ Hunters
2–0
W
2 May
vs Khoromkhon
6–2
W
26 Apr
vs Ulaangom City
5–1
W
3.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ulaanbaatar and Khangarid.
What is the prediction for Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid?
Our pick is Ulaanbaatar to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid?
On our numbers Ulaanbaatar have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Khangarid 21%.
How many goals will there be in Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid?
Our predicted score is Ulaanbaatar 2–1 Khangarid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid?
Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
