Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.68
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–4 ✗7% · fair 14.29
Khovd vs Deren: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 18 June the Premier League brings Khovd against Deren. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Khovd are 7th on 16 points after 21 matches; Deren are 3rd with 45. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Khovd, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–10 defeat to Hunters, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 6.3 conceded per game.
Deren, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Central Stallions, at home. The attack is flying at 3.7 goals per game.
Momentum favours Deren, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Khovd.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Khovd 1.2 xG, Deren 4.1 xG – a total near 5.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 91% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Khovd 6%, draw 9%, Deren 85%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (97%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Khovd 1–4 Deren. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Khovd6%fair 15.85 · @41.00
Draw9%fair 11.62 · @29.00
Deren85%fair 1.18 · @1.01
5.32Expected goals
1.25Khovd xG
4.07Deren xG
59%Both score
91%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–47%
1–37%
1–56%
0–46%
0–36%
1–25%
From our goals model: Khovd 1.2 – 4.1 Deren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deren to win✓
85%
1.18
1.01
Double chance
Deren or draw✓
94%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
–
Draw no bet
Deren (draw no bet)✓
93%
1.07
–
Asian handicap
Deren -2 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.02
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
First team to score
Deren to score first✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Deren ahead at half-time✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deren / FT Deren✗
64%
1.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–4✗
7%
14.29
–
Recent results
Khovd – last 6
LLWLLL
13 Jun
@ Hunters
1–10
L
24 May
vs Khangarid
0–6
L
21 May
@ Ulaangom City
3–2
W
16 May
vs Khovd Western
2–5
L
6 May
@ Khoromkhon
1–6
L
3 May
vs Central Stallions
0–9
L
1.2Scored / game
6.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Deren – last 6
LLWDLW
14 Jun
vs Central Stallions
1–2
L
23 May
@ Ulaanbaatar
0–2
L
20 May
vs Khoromkhon
12–0
W
17 May
vs Hunters
1–1
D
9 May
@ Khangarid
1–2
L
7 May
vs Ulaangom City
7–1
W
3.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Khovd and Deren.
On our numbers Khovd have a 6% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Deren 85%.
How many goals will there be in Khovd vs Deren?
We expect about 5.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Khovd vs Deren?
Our predicted score is Khovd 1–4 Deren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.3 goals in total.
When is Khovd vs Deren?
Khovd vs Deren (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
