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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FK Jablonec v Karviná: numbers & prediction

Cup · Czech-Republic · Malsovicka arena
1–3
FT
FK Jablonec 49%Draw 25%Karviná 26% Expected goals 1.61 – 1.28
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultFK Jablonec to win ✗49% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85

FK Jablonec vs Karviná: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FK Jablonec welcome Karviná to Malsovicka arena for a Cup fixture on Wednesday 20 May (17:00 WAT).

Current form

FK Jablonec, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Plzen, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Karviná, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Pardubice, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended FK Jablonec 1–0 Karviná.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FK Jablonec 1.6 xG, Karviná 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FK Jablonec 49%, draw 25%, Karviná 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Jablonec 1–1 Karviná. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FK Jablonec49%fair 2.06 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.60
Karviná26%fair 3.79 · @3.90
2.89Expected goals
1.61FK Jablonec xG
1.28Karviná xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: FK Jablonec 1.6 – 1.3 Karviná expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

FK JablonecKarviná
Attack vs Cup average-8%+5%
Goals conceded vs average-18%-19%
Our expected goals here1.261.20

Our own ratings from every Cup result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Jablonec to win ✗49%2.061.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.60
Draw no betFK Jablonec (draw no bet) ✗65%1.54–
Asian handicapKarviná +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.511.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreFK Jablonec to score first53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Jablonec / FT FK Jablonec ✗27%3.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.85–

Recent results

FK Jablonec – last 5

LLWWW
17 May@ Plzen0–5L
13 May@ Slavia Praha1–5L
21 Aprvs Mlada Boleslav1–0W
21 Febvs Karviná1–0W
15 Feb@ Pardubice2–0W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Karviná – last 6

WWWLDL
10 May@ Pardubice2–1W
21 Aprvs Baník Ostrava2–1W
12 Aprvs Slovan Liberec3–1W
5 Apr@ Sparta Praha0–2L
15 Mar@ Sigma Olomouc2–2D
8 Marvs Pardubice1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026FK Jablonec v Karviná1–0
FK Jablonec vs Karviná head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Jablonec vs Karviná?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win FK Jablonec vs Karviná?

On our numbers FK Jablonec have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Karviná 26%.

How many goals will there be in FK Jablonec vs Karviná?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FK Jablonec vs Karviná?

Our predicted score is FK Jablonec 1–1 Karviná, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is FK Jablonec vs Karviná?

FK Jablonec vs Karviná (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Malsovicka arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.