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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sporting Ben Arous v Mégrine: numbers & prediction

Ligue 2 · Tunisia
1–1
FT
Sporting Ben Arous 42%Draw 28%Mégrine 30% Expected goals 1.24 – 0.93
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultSporting Ben Arous to win ✗42% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.06

Sporting Ben Arous vs Mégrine: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:30 WAT, Monday 27 April: Sporting Ben Arous v Mégrine in the Ligue 2. In the table, Sporting Ben Arous are 15th, lower half, on 9 points after 7 matches; Mégrine are 10th (upper half) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sporting Ben Arous, last 4: LDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to AS Agareb, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Mégrine, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to CS Hammam-Lif, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Ben Arous 1.2 xG, Mégrine 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Ben Arous 42%, draw 28%, Mégrine 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Ben Arous 1–0 Mégrine. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting Ben Arous42%fair 2.38 · @2.38
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @2.88
Mégrine30%fair 3.37 · @3.00
2.17Expected goals
1.24Sporting Ben Arous xG
0.93Mégrine xG
45%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Sporting Ben Arous 1.2 – 0.9 Mégrine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting Ben Arous to win ✗42%2.382.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.401.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.83–
Draw no betSporting Ben Arous (draw no bet)59%1.71–
Asian handicapMégrine +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreSporting Ben Arous to score first ✓51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting Ben Arous / FT Sporting Ben Arous ✗25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.06–

Recent results

Sporting Ben Arous – last 4

LDWD
13 Aprvs AS Agareb0–1L
28 Feb@ Bouselem0–0D
22 Febvs BS Bouhajla1–0W
16 Febvs ES Hammam-Sousse1–1D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Mégrine – last 5

LWLLW
13 Apr@ CS Hammam-Lif0–3L
29 Mar@ Menzel Bourguiba1–0W
28 Febvs US Tataouine0–1L
22 Feb@ ES Hammam-Sousse0–3L
16 Feb@ CS Chebba2–1W
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sporting Ben Arous and Mégrine.

Sporting Ben Arous vs Mégrine head-to-head page →

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Kasserine7601+718
2EM Mahdia7520+717
3Ksour Essef6420+614
4M'saken7421+514
5CS Chebba7412+113
6Bouchamma7412-213
7AS Soliman7331+512
8Korba7331+412
9Jendouba Sport7331+212
10Mégrine7322+111
11JS Kairouanaise7322+111
12US Tataouine7322-111
13Kalaâ Sport7313+110
14Stade Soussien7313+110
15Sporting Ben Arous7232+29
16Ariana722308
17Stade Gabesien715108
18Sfax Railways715108
19EGS Gafsa7214-27
20AS Agareb7142-37
21Redeyef6204+26
22Kerkennah7133-26
23Olympique du Kef7124-35
24Béni-Khalled7124-45
25CO Medenine7124-75
26BS Bouhajla7124-75
27AS Gabes7025-52
28Moknine7025-92

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Ben Arous vs Mégrine?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Sporting Ben Arous vs Mégrine?

On our numbers Sporting Ben Arous have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Mégrine 30%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Ben Arous vs Mégrine?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Ben Arous vs Mégrine?

Our predicted score is Sporting Ben Arous 1–0 Mégrine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Sporting Ben Arous vs Mégrine?

Sporting Ben Arous vs Mégrine (Ligue 2) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.