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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lexington v Indy Eleven: numbers & prediction

USL League One Cup · USA · Toyota Stadium
0–0
FTPens 6–7
Lexington 49%Draw 22%Indy Eleven 29% Expected goals 2.06 – 1.32
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultLexington to win ✗49% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50

Lexington vs Indy Eleven: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lexington welcome Indy Eleven to Toyota Stadium for a USL League One Cup fixture on Sunday 21 June (00:00 WAT). In the table, Lexington are 19th, upper half, on 6 points after 4 matches; Indy Eleven are 14th (upper half) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Lexington, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over San Antonio, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Indy Eleven, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Pittsburgh Riverhounds, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Indy Eleven 3–1 Lexington.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lexington 2.1 xG, Indy Eleven 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lexington 49%, draw 22%, Indy Eleven 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lexington 2–1 Indy Eleven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lexington49%fair 2.04 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.70
Indy Eleven29%fair 3.42 · @2.80
3.38Expected goals
2.06Lexington xG
1.32Indy Eleven xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Lexington 2.1 – 1.3 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLexington to win ✗49%2.042.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.531.42
Draw no betLexington (draw no bet)63%1.60–
Asian handicapIndy Eleven +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.561.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.761.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
First team to scoreLexington to score first ✗59%1.70–
Half-time resultLexington ahead at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lexington / FT Lexington ✗34%2.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.50–

Recent results

Lexington – last 6

WWLWLW
14 Junvs San Antonio2–0W
31 May@ El Paso Locomotive4–1W
24 May@ Indy Eleven1–3L
9 Mayvs Monterey Bay3–1W
3 May@ Las Vegas Lights1–2L
26 Aprvs Forward Madison4–2W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Indy Eleven – last 6

LWWWWL
14 Jun@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–1L
7 Junvs Forward Madison2–0W
31 Mayvs Rhode Island1–0W
24 Mayvs Lexington3–1W
10 Mayvs Sporting JAX2–1W
3 May@ Tampa Bay Rowdies0–1L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Indy Eleven v Lexington3–1
Lexington vs Indy Eleven head-to-head page →

USL League One Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City4400+912
2Colorado Springs4400+912
3Tampa Bay Rowdies4400+912
4San Antonio4400+512
5Charlotte Independence4400+412
6Miami FC4301+69
7Charleston Battery4301+59
8Birmingham Legion4301+59
9Hartford Athletic4301+59
10Rhode Island4301+49
11Sacramento Republic4301+49
12Boise4301+39
13New Mexico United4301+39
14Indy Eleven4301+39
15One Knoxville4301+29
16Spokane Velocity430109
17Brooklyn4202+46
18Pittsburgh Riverhounds4202+36
19Lexington420206
20El Paso Locomotive420206
21Detroit City420206
22Alta4202-16
23Union Omaha4202-26
24Portland Hearts of Pine4202-36
25Monterey Bay4103-23
26Oakland Roots4103-23
27Sporting JAX4103-23
28FC Tulsa4103-33
29Greenville Triumph4103-33
30Las Vegas Lights4103-33
31Loudoun United4103-33
32Forward Madison4103-43
33Westchester SC4103-43
34Corpus Christi4103-43
35Phoenix Rising4103-53
36NY Cosmos4103-63
37Naples4103-63
38Richmond Kickers4103-63
39Sarasota Paradise4103-73
40Chattanooga Red Wolves4004-50
41Fort Wayne4004-60
42Orange County SC4004-60

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lexington vs Indy Eleven?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Lexington vs Indy Eleven?

On our numbers Lexington have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Indy Eleven 29%.

How many goals will there be in Lexington vs Indy Eleven?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lexington vs Indy Eleven?

Our predicted score is Lexington 2–1 Indy Eleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Lexington vs Indy Eleven?

Lexington vs Indy Eleven (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.