Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultStade Tunisien to win ✗55% · @1.53
Double chanceStade Tunisien or draw ✓81% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.19
Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stade Tunisien welcome US Ben Guerdane to Stade Hedi-Enneifer for a Ligue 1 fixture on Friday 8 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, Stade Tunisien are 3rd, among the top four, on 13 points after 7 matches; US Ben Guerdane are 1st (leading the league) with 17.
Current form
Stade Tunisien, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Jeunesse Sportive Omrane, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
US Ben Guerdane, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over JS Kairouanaise, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stade Tunisien 1.3 xG, US Ben Guerdane 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stade Tunisien 55%, draw 26%, US Ben Guerdane 19%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stade Tunisien 1–0 US Ben Guerdane. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stade Tunisien55%fair 1.83 · @1.53
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.45
US Ben Guerdane19%fair 5.17 · @6.50
2.06Expected goals
1.27Stade Tunisien xG
0.79US Ben Guerdane xG
46%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–013%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Stade Tunisien 1.3 – 0.8 US Ben Guerdane expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Tunisien to win✗
55%
1.83
1.53
Double chance
Stade Tunisien or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.40
Draw no bet
Stade Tunisien (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
US Ben Guerdane +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Stade Tunisien to score first✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Tunisien / FT Stade Tunisien✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.19
–
Recent results
Stade Tunisien – last 5
LDWLW
29 Apr
vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs ES Sahel
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ AS Marsa
4–0
W
21 Feb
@ ES Tunis
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Olympique Béja
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
US Ben Guerdane – last 6
WWDLLL
30 Apr
@ JS Kairouanaise
1–0
W
10 Apr
@ AS Gabes
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs ES Metlaoui
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ M'saken
1–4
L
8 Mar
vs Club Africain
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stade Tunisien and US Ben Guerdane.
What is the prediction for Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane?
On our numbers Stade Tunisien have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and US Ben Guerdane 19%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane?
Our predicted score is Stade Tunisien 1–0 US Ben Guerdane, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane?
Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Hedi-Enneifer.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AS Soliman1
AS Gabes0