Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultSunderland U21 to win ✗58% · @1.67
Double chanceSunderland U21 or draw ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24
Sunderland U21 vs Burnley U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Burnley U21 travel to face Sunderland U21 on Thursday 14 May in the Premier League Cup, with Stadium of Light the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Sunderland U21 are 2nd on 10 points after 6 matches; Burnley U21 are 1st with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sunderland U21, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Manchester United U21, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Burnley U21, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over West Bromwich Albion U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sunderland U21 2.4 xG, Burnley U21 1.4 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sunderland U21 58%, draw 23%, Burnley U21 19%.
Lower-risk option: Sunderland U21 or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sunderland U21 2–1 Burnley U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sunderland U2158%fair 1.72 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.50
Burnley U2119%fair 5.19 · @4.20
3.85Expected goals
2.41Sunderland U21 xG
1.44Burnley U21 xG
66%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–26%
2–06%
1–25%
From our goals model: Sunderland U21 2.4 – 1.4 Burnley U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sunderland U21
Burnley U21
Attack vs Premier League Cup average
+5%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-0%
-1%
Our expected goals here
2.19
1.38
Our own ratings from every Premier League Cup result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sunderland U21 to win✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Double chance
Sunderland U21 or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.57
Draw no bet
Sunderland U21 (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Burnley U21 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
First team to score
Sunderland U21 to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Sunderland U21 ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sunderland U21 / FT Sunderland U21✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
Sunderland U21 – last 6
LWLDWW
26 Apr
@ Manchester United U21
2–3
L
15 Apr
vs Blackburn Rovers U21
4–2
W
6 Apr
@ Derby County U21
1–2
L
30 Mar
vs Reading U21
2–2
D
23 Mar
vs Arsenal U21
3–1
W
9 Mar
vs Leeds United U21
5–2
W
2.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Burnley U21 – last 6
WLDLWW
13 Apr
vs West Bromwich Albion U21
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Blackburn Rovers U21
0–2
L
23 Mar
@ Ipswich Town U21
0–0
D
16 Mar
vs Brighton U21
0–2
L
9 Mar
@ Stoke City U21
3–1
W
5 Mar
vs Colchester United U21
5–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sunderland U21 and Burnley U21.
What is the prediction for Sunderland U21 vs Burnley U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Sunderland U21 vs Burnley U21?
On our numbers Sunderland U21 have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Burnley U21 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sunderland U21 vs Burnley U21?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland U21 vs Burnley U21?
Our predicted score is Sunderland U21 2–1 Burnley U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Sunderland U21 vs Burnley U21?
Sunderland U21 vs Burnley U21 (Premier League Cup) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium of Light.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
