Portmore United vs Tivoli Gardens: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tivoli Gardens travel to face Portmore United on Wednesday 6 May in the Premier League, with Ferdi Neita Sports Complex the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Portmore United are 8th, lower half, on 10 points after 7 matches; Tivoli Gardens are 7th (upper half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Portmore United, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Spanish Town Police, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Tivoli Gardens, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Treasure Beach, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Portmore United, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Tivoli Gardens.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portmore United 1.9 xG, Tivoli Gardens 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portmore United 61%, draw 22%, Tivoli Gardens 17%.
Lower-risk option: Portmore United or draw (83%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portmore United 2–0 Tivoli Gardens. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portmore United61%fair 1.64 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.70
Tivoli Gardens17%fair 5.80 · @4.40
2.83Expected goals
1.91Portmore United xG
0.92Tivoli Gardens xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Portmore United 1.9 – 0.9 Tivoli Gardens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portmore United to win✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Double chance
Portmore United or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.67
Draw no bet
Portmore United (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Portmore United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Portmore United to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Portmore United ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portmore United / FT Portmore United✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Portmore United – last 6
WDLWLD
23 Apr
@ Spanish Town Police
1–0
W
15 Apr
@ Cavalier
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Dunbeholden
1–2
L
26 Mar
vs Waterhouse
2–1
W
24 Mar
@ Mount Pleasant Academy
1–4
L
18 Mar
@ Treasure Beach
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tivoli Gardens – last 6
LLLLWL
30 Apr
@ Treasure Beach
2–4
L
27 Apr
@ Molynes United
0–2
L
22 Apr
@ Montego Bay United
1–5
L
16 Apr
@ Waterhouse
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Harbour View
3–2
W
25 Mar
vs Chapelton
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portmore United and Tivoli Gardens.
What is the prediction for Portmore United vs Tivoli Gardens?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Portmore United vs Tivoli Gardens?
On our numbers Portmore United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tivoli Gardens 17%.
How many goals will there be in Portmore United vs Tivoli Gardens?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portmore United vs Tivoli Gardens?
Our predicted score is Portmore United 2–0 Tivoli Gardens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Portmore United vs Tivoli Gardens?
Portmore United vs Tivoli Gardens (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Ferdi Neita Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
