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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Molinos El Pirata v Academia Cantolao: numbers & prediction

Molinos El Pirata 53%Draw 24%Academia Cantolao 24% Expected goals 1.75 – 1.18
52%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.93 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultMolinos El Pirata to win ✓53% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.37

Molinos El Pirata vs Academia Cantolao: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Monday 11 May: Molinos El Pirata v Academia Cantolao in the Segunda División. In the table, Molinos El Pirata are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 16 matches; Academia Cantolao are 8th (in the drop zone) with 14.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Molinos El Pirata 1.7 xG, Academia Cantolao 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Molinos El Pirata 53%, draw 24%, Academia Cantolao 24%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (52%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.93, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Molinos El Pirata 2–1 Academia Cantolao. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Molinos El Pirata53%fair 1.90 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.30
Academia Cantolao24%fair 4.22 · @3.60
2.93Expected goals
1.75Molinos El Pirata xG
1.18Academia Cantolao xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Molinos El Pirata 1.7 – 1.2 Academia Cantolao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMolinos El Pirata to win ✓53%1.901.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.99–
Draw no betMolinos El Pirata (draw no bet) ✓69%1.45–
Asian handicapAcademia Cantolao +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.932.00
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreMolinos El Pirata to score first ✓56%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Molinos El Pirata / FT Molinos El Pirata ✓31%3.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.37–

Recent results

Molinos El Pirata – last 2

WL
27 Aprvs Cesar Vallejo2–1W
6 Aprvs Deportiva Agropecuaria0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Academia Cantolao – last 1

W
3 Aprvs San Marcos5–1W
5.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Molinos El Pirata and Academia Cantolao.

Molinos El Pirata vs Academia Cantolao head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Comercio16952+1432
2Carlos A. Mannucci16934+1030
3Deportivo Llacuabamba16844+1328
4Molinos El Pirata16745+525
5U. San Martin16736+924
6Deportiva Agropecuaria15564+221
7Cesar Vallejo15546+119
8Academia Cantolao16358-1114
9San Marcos140014-430

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Molinos El Pirata vs Academia Cantolao?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Molinos El Pirata vs Academia Cantolao?

On our numbers Molinos El Pirata have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Academia Cantolao 24%.

How many goals will there be in Molinos El Pirata vs Academia Cantolao?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Molinos El Pirata vs Academia Cantolao?

Our predicted score is Molinos El Pirata 2–1 Academia Cantolao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Molinos El Pirata vs Academia Cantolao?

Molinos El Pirata vs Academia Cantolao (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.