Dorking Wanderers v Maidenhead Prediction & Expected Goals (29 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDorking Wanderers to win ✓47% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.60

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43

Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Wednesday 29 April: Dorking Wanderers v Maidenhead in the National League South, played at Meadowbank. In the table, Dorking Wanderers are 6th, upper half, on 27 points after 15 matches; Maidenhead are 18th (lower half) with 16.

Current form

Dorking Wanderers, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Worthing, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Maidenhead, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hampton & Richmond, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Maidenhead, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Dorking Wanderers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dorking Wanderers 1.7 xG, Maidenhead 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Dorking Wanderers 47%, draw 23%, Maidenhead 30%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dorking Wanderers 1–1 Maidenhead. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dorking Wanderers47%fair 2.13 · @2.05

Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.45

Maidenhead30%fair 3.36 · @3.10

2.87Expected goals

1.70Dorking Wanderers xG

1.17Maidenhead xG

58%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–010%

2–110%

2–08%

0–17%

1–27%

From our goals model: Dorking Wanderers 1.7 – 1.2 Maidenhead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Dorking Wanderers to win ✓	47%	2.13	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.31	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.72	1.60
Draw no bet	Dorking Wanderers (draw no bet) ✓	61%	1.63	–
Asian handicap	Maidenhead +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.31	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.85	1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	68%	1.48	1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.20	–
First team to score	Dorking Wanderers to score first ✓	56%	1.79	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.48	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Dorking Wanderers / FT Dorking Wanderers ✓	30%	3.29	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.43	–

Dorking Wanderers – last 6

LLDWDW

6 Apr	vs Worthing	1–2	L
3 Apr	@ Horsham	0–3	L
24 Mar	@ Torquay	2–2	D
17 Mar	@ Enfield Town	4–2	W
10 Mar	vs Chelmsford City	1–1	D
24 Feb	@ Eastbourne Borough	2–1	W

1.7Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Maidenhead – last 6

WWLDWW

6 Apr	vs Hampton & Richmond	2–1	W
31 Mar	vs Bath City	3–0	W
17 Mar	vs Ebbsfleet United	2–3	L
10 Mar	@ Worthing	0–0	D
3 Mar	vs AFC Totton	2–0	W
24 Feb	vs Salisbury	2–1	W

1.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

National League South table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead?

On our numbers Dorking Wanderers have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Maidenhead 30%.

How many goals will there be in Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead?

Our predicted score is Dorking Wanderers 1–1 Maidenhead, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead?

Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead (National League South) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Meadowbank.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Dorking Wanderers v Maidenhead: numbers & prediction