Sparta Praha 59%Draw 24%FK Jablonec 18%Expected goals 1.76 – 0.95
76%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultSparta Praha to win59% · @1.56
Double chanceSparta Praha or draw82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.21
Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sparta Praha welcome FK Jablonec to epet ARENA for a Czech Liga fixture on Sunday 3 May (17:30 WAT). In the table, Sparta Praha are 4th, among the top four, on 24 points after 14 matches; FK Jablonec are 7th (upper half) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sparta Praha, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Karviná, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
FK Jablonec, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mlada Boleslav, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FK Jablonec, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.2 for Sparta Praha.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sparta Praha 1.8 xG, FK Jablonec 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sparta Praha 59%, draw 24%, FK Jablonec 18%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sparta Praha 1–1 FK Jablonec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sparta Praha59%fair 1.71 · @1.56
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.80
FK Jablonec18%fair 5.66 · @5.30
2.71Expected goals
1.76Sparta Praha xG
0.95FK Jablonec xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Sparta Praha 1.8 – 1.0 FK Jablonec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Praha to win
59%
1.71
1.56
Double chance
Sparta Praha or draw
82%
1.21
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
Sparta Praha (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
FK Jablonec +1.5 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.46
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Sparta Praha to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Praha / FT Sparta Praha
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Sparta Praha – last 6
WLWLLD
5 Apr
vs Karviná
2–0
W
19 Mar
vs AZ Alkmaar
0–4
L
15 Mar
vs Slovácko
5–2
W
12 Mar
@ AZ Alkmaar
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Slavia Praha
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ Plzen
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FK Jablonec – last 3
WWW
21 Apr
vs Mlada Boleslav
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Karviná
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Pardubice
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sparta Praha and FK Jablonec.
What is the prediction for Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
On our numbers Sparta Praha have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FK Jablonec 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
Our predicted score is Sparta Praha 1–1 FK Jablonec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at epet ARENA.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
