Sparta Praha vs Plzen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 12 May the Czech Liga brings Sparta Praha against Plzen at epet ARENA. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Sparta Praha are 4th, among the top four, on 24 points after 14 matches; Plzen are 8th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Sparta Praha, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Karviná, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Plzen, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bohemians 1905, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Plzen 0–0 Sparta Praha.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sparta Praha 1.6 xG, Plzen 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sparta Praha 40%, draw 24%, Plzen 36%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sparta Praha 1–1 Plzen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sparta Praha40%fair 2.50 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.35
Plzen36%fair 2.78 · @2.56
3.07Expected goals
1.61Sparta Praha xG
1.46Plzen xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sparta Praha 1.6 – 1.5 Plzen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Plzen?
On our numbers Sparta Praha have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Plzen 36%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Praha vs Plzen?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Praha vs Plzen?
Our predicted score is Sparta Praha 1–1 Plzen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sparta Praha vs Plzen?
Sparta Praha vs Plzen (Czech Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at epet ARENA.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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