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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juvenes Dogana v Libertas: numbers & prediction

Campionato · San-Marino · San Marino Stadium
1–1
–
Juvenes Dogana 53%Draw 24%Libertas 23% Expected goals 1.60 – 1.05
55%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.57

4/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultJuvenes Dogana to win53% · @1.57
Double chanceJuvenes Dogana or draw77% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–05% · fair 20.70

Juvenes Dogana vs Libertas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Juvenes Dogana welcome Libertas to San Marino Stadium for a Campionato fixture on Wednesday 29 April (19:45 WAT). In the table, Juvenes Dogana are 11th, lower half, on 7 points after 8 matches; Libertas are 9th (lower half) with 9. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Juvenes Dogana, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Murata, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Libertas, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–9 defeat to Virtus, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended Libertas 1–0 Juvenes Dogana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juvenes Dogana 1.6 xG, Libertas 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juvenes Dogana 53%, draw 24%, Libertas 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Juvenes Dogana or draw (77%) at 1.14.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juvenes Dogana 2–1 Libertas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juvenes Dogana53%fair 1.88 · @1.57
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @4.00
Libertas23%fair 4.40 · @4.40
2.65Expected goals
1.60Juvenes Dogana xG
1.05Libertas xG
46%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Juvenes Dogana 1.6 – 1.0 Libertas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuvenes Dogana to win53%1.881.57
Double chanceJuvenes Dogana or draw77%1.291.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score54%1.87–
Draw no betJuvenes Dogana (draw no bet)70%1.43–
Asian handicapLibertas +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals55%1.831.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals73%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.15–
First team to scoreJuvenes Dogana to score first56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juvenes Dogana / FT Juvenes Dogana30%3.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–05%20.70–

Recent results

Juvenes Dogana – last 6

WLDLLD
26 Aprvs Murata5–2W
8 Apr@ Libertas0–1L
22 Marvs San Marino Academy0–0D
18 Marvs La Fiorita1–2L
8 Mar@ Virtus0–2L
4 Mar@ La Fiorita0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Libertas – last 6

LLWWLD
26 Aprvs Virtus0–9L
19 Aprvs Tre Penne1–3L
8 Aprvs Juvenes Dogana1–0W
15 Marvs Cosmos1–0W
1 Marvs Folgore2–4L
21 Feb@ La Fiorita2–2D
1.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Apr 2026Libertas v Juvenes Dogana1–0
Juvenes Dogana vs Libertas head-to-head page →

Campionato table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore8710+1622
2Tre Penne8620+1220
3Virtus8611+919
4Tre Fiori8521+1117
5Cosmos8512+1116
6La Fiorita8440+616
7Domagnano8314010
8Fiorentino8233+39
9Libertas8233-29
10San Giovanni8224-68
11Juvenes / Dogana8215-17
12Cailungo8134-26
13Pennarossa8125-145
14Murata8116-134
15San Marino Academy8044-134
16Faetano8035-173

More Campionato predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juvenes Dogana vs Libertas?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Juvenes Dogana vs Libertas?

On our numbers Juvenes Dogana have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Libertas 23%.

How many goals will there be in Juvenes Dogana vs Libertas?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juvenes Dogana vs Libertas?

Our predicted score is Juvenes Dogana 2–1 Libertas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Juvenes Dogana vs Libertas?

Juvenes Dogana vs Libertas (Campionato) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at San Marino Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.