Deportiva Venados vs Real Apodaca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Apodaca travel to face Deportiva Venados on Thursday 30 April in the Liga Premier Serie A – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.
Current form
Deportiva Venados, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tritons Vallarta, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Real Apodaca, last 4: DWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Inter Playa del Carmen, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportiva Venados 1.7 xG, Real Apodaca 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 52% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportiva Venados 48%, draw 24%, Real Apodaca 28%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportiva Venados 1–1 Real Apodaca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportiva Venados48%fair 2.10 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.25
Real Apodaca28%fair 3.55 · @3.10
2.93Expected goals
1.73Deportiva Venados xG
1.19Real Apodaca xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Deportiva Venados 1.7 – 1.2 Real Apodaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportiva Venados to win✗
48%
2.10
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Draw no bet
Deportiva Venados (draw no bet)
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Real Apodaca +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Deportiva Venados to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportiva Venados / FT Deportiva Venados✗
31%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Deportiva Venados – last 3
DDW
22 Apr
@ Tritons Vallarta
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Montañeses
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ Héroes de Zaci
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Apodaca – last 4
DWDL
23 Apr
@ Inter Playa del Carmen
0–0
D
24 Mar
@ Zitacuaro
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Lobos ULMX
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Gavilanes FC Matamoros
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportiva Venados and Real Apodaca.
What is the prediction for Deportiva Venados vs Real Apodaca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Deportiva Venados vs Real Apodaca?
On our numbers Deportiva Venados have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Apodaca 28%.
How many goals will there be in Deportiva Venados vs Real Apodaca?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportiva Venados vs Real Apodaca?
Our predicted score is Deportiva Venados 1–1 Real Apodaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Deportiva Venados vs Real Apodaca?
Deportiva Venados vs Real Apodaca (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
