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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Durango v Deportivo Zap: numbers & prediction

Liga Premier Serie A · Mexico · Estadio Francisco Zarco

Durango

DDWWD
2–1
FT
Durango 56%Draw 25%Deportivo Zap 19% Expected goals 1.68 – 0.94
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultDurango to win ✓56% · @1.48
Double chanceDurango or draw ✓81% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.36

Durango vs Deportivo Zap: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Durango welcome Deportivo Zap to Estadio Francisco Zarco for a Liga Premier Serie A fixture on Sunday 3 May (03:00 WAT).

Current form

Durango, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo Zap, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Deportivo Zap, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Durango, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Durango, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Deportivo Zap.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Deportivo Zap 0–0 Durango.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Durango 1.7 xG, Deportivo Zap 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Durango 56%, draw 25%, Deportivo Zap 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Durango 1–1 Deportivo Zap. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Durango56%fair 1.77 · @1.48
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @4.20
Deportivo Zap19%fair 5.39 · @5.50
2.62Expected goals
1.68Durango xG
0.94Deportivo Zap xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Durango 1.7 – 0.9 Deportivo Zap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDurango to win ✓56%1.771.48
Double chanceDurango or draw ✓81%1.231.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.711.80 ▲
Draw no betDurango (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapDeportivo Zap +1 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.14–
First team to scoreDurango to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Durango / FT Durango ✓33%2.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.36–

Recent results

Durango – last 6

DDWWDW
29 Apr@ Deportivo Zap0–0D
26 Aprvs Zacatepec 19481–1D
11 Aprvs Mineros de Fresnillo2–1W
4 Aprvs Reboceros La Piedad3–1W
28 Mar@ Cimarrones0–0D
21 Marvs Ensenada6–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Deportivo Zap – last 6

DDLWWL
29 Aprvs Durango0–0D
22 Aprvs Racing de Veracruz0–0D
19 Apr@ Tigres de Alica1–2L
15 Aprvs Tigres de Alica2–0W
15 Mar@ Gavilanes FC Matamoros1–0W
14 Feb@ FC Santiago1–3L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Apr 2026Deportivo Zap v Durango0–0
Durango vs Deportivo Zap head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Durango vs Deportivo Zap?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Durango vs Deportivo Zap?

On our numbers Durango have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Zap 19%.

How many goals will there be in Durango vs Deportivo Zap?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Durango vs Deportivo Zap?

Our predicted score is Durango 1–1 Deportivo Zap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Durango vs Deportivo Zap?

Durango vs Deportivo Zap (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Zarco.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.