Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Nong Bua Pitchaya to win @ 2.40 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNong Bua Pitchaya to win ✗48% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.71
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.96
Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the Thai League 2 brings Police Tero against Nong Bua Pitchaya at Boonyachinda Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Police Tero are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Nong Bua Pitchaya are 3rd (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
Police Tero, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chainat, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Nong Bua Pitchaya, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Khon Kaen United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Momentum favours Nong Bua Pitchaya, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Police Tero.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Mar 2026) it ended Nong Bua Pitchaya 6–3 Police Tero.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Police Tero 1.5 xG, Nong Bua Pitchaya 2.1 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Police Tero 32%, draw 20%, Nong Bua Pitchaya 48%.
Price worth noting: Nong Bua Pitchaya to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Police Tero 1–2 Nong Bua Pitchaya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Police Tero32%fair 3.09 · @2.40
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.75
Nong Bua Pitchaya48%fair 2.10 · @2.40
3.60Expected goals
1.46Police Tero xG
2.14Nong Bua Pitchaya xG
58%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–19%
2–27%
1–37%
2–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Police Tero 1.5 – 2.1 Nong Bua Pitchaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
On our numbers Police Tero have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nong Bua Pitchaya 48%.
How many goals will there be in Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Our predicted score is Police Tero 1–2 Nong Bua Pitchaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Boonyachinda Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
