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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nong Bua Pitchaya v Police Tero: numbers & prediction

Thai League 2 · Thailand · Pitchaya Stadium

Nong Bua Pitchaya

LWWLD
3–1
–ET 3–1

Police Tero

WLLWL
Nong Bua Pitchaya 68%Draw 16%Police Tero 16% Expected goals 2.76 – 1.18
68%
Betarazi pick

Nong Bua Pitchaya to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultNong Bua Pitchaya to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 9 May: Nong Bua Pitchaya v Police Tero in the Thai League 2, played at Pitchaya Stadium. In the table, Nong Bua Pitchaya are 3rd, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Police Tero are 15th (lower half) with 10.

Current form

Nong Bua Pitchaya, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Police Tero, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Police Tero, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nong Bua Pitchaya, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Nong Bua Pitchaya, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Police Tero.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Police Tero 2–1 Nong Bua Pitchaya. The last 2 head-to-heads: Nong Bua Pitchaya 1 win, Police Tero 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 6.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nong Bua Pitchaya 2.8 xG, Police Tero 1.2 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nong Bua Pitchaya 68%, draw 16%, Police Tero 16%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nong Bua Pitchaya to win (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nong Bua Pitchaya 2–1 Police Tero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nong Bua Pitchaya68%fair 1.48 · @1.44
Draw16%fair 6.30 · @4.75
Police Tero16%fair 6.09 · @4.75
3.94Expected goals
2.76Nong Bua Pitchaya xG
1.18Police Tero xG
54%Both score
75%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%

From our goals model: Nong Bua Pitchaya 2.8 – 1.2 Police Tero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNong Bua Pitchaya to win ✓68%1.481.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.191.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.84–
Draw no betNong Bua Pitchaya (draw no bet) ✓80%1.24–
Asian handicapNong Bua Pitchaya -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓52%1.941.90
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
First team to scoreNong Bua Pitchaya to score first ✓69%1.46–
Half-time resultNong Bua Pitchaya ahead at half-time ✓53%1.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nong Bua Pitchaya / FT Nong Bua Pitchaya ✓48%2.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.45–

Recent results

Nong Bua Pitchaya – last 6

LWWLDW
3 May@ Police Tero1–2L
5 Aprvs Khon Kaen United4–2W
28 Marvs Police Tero6–3W
22 Mar@ Nakhon Pathom1–3L
14 Marvs Esan Pattaya1–1D
8 Mar@ Trat FC2–1W
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Police Tero – last 6

WLLWLD
3 Mayvs Nong Bua Pitchaya2–1W
5 Apr@ Chainat1–2L
28 Mar@ Nong Bua Pitchaya3–6L
22 Marvs Sisaket United2–1W
15 Mar@ Bangkok0–1L
8 Marvs Mahasarakham United0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Police Tero v Nong Bua Pitchaya2–1
28 Mar 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya v Police Tero6–3
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero head-to-head page →

Thai League 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Khon Kaen United10802+1224
2Uttaradit10541+919
3Nong Bua Pitchaya10532+1218
4Kanchanaburi10451+617
5Satun10442+516
6Nakhon Ratchasima FC10433+415
7Chainat10433-115
8Nakhon Pathom10352+114
9Muangthong United10424+114
10Phrae United10424014
11Chiangmai United10343+113
12Muang Loei United10334012
13Esan Pattaya10334-712
14Chanthaburi10244-110
15Police Tero10316-1310
16Songkhla10145-67
17Mahasarakham United10145-127
18Kasetsart FC10127-115

More Thai League 2 predictions

League hub
FT Pattani2 Chainat1 155%1.60X22%4.00223%4.10 1.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 58%@1.60 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero?

Our pick is Nong Bua Pitchaya to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero?

On our numbers Nong Bua Pitchaya have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Police Tero 16%.

How many goals will there be in Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero?

Our predicted score is Nong Bua Pitchaya 2–1 Police Tero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero?

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Pitchaya Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.