Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultMunicipal to win ✓36% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.92
Guastatoya vs Municipal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guastatoya welcome Municipal for a Liga Nacional fixture on Friday 1 May (02:00 WAT). In the table, Guastatoya are 7th, lower half, on 31 points after 22 matches; Municipal are 2nd (among the top four) with 38.
Current form
Guastatoya, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Comunicaciones, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Municipal, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Marquense, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Municipal, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Guastatoya.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Guastatoya 1–1 Municipal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guastatoya 1.1 xG, Municipal 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guastatoya 35%, draw 29%, Municipal 36%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guastatoya 1–1 Municipal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guastatoya35%fair 2.86 · @2.70
Draw29%fair 3.41 · @2.95
Municipal36%fair 2.80 · @2.55
2.22Expected goals
1.14Guastatoya xG
1.07Municipal xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Guastatoya 1.1 – 1.1 Municipal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Guastatoya
Municipal
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+2%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-38%
Our expected goals here
1.05
0.89
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Guastatoya vs Municipal?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Guastatoya vs Municipal?
On our numbers Guastatoya have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Municipal 36%.
How many goals will there be in Guastatoya vs Municipal?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guastatoya vs Municipal?
Our predicted score is Guastatoya 1–1 Municipal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Guastatoya vs Municipal?
Guastatoya vs Municipal (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
