Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.02
Municipal vs Guastatoya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Municipal v Guastatoya in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera. In the table, Municipal are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 22 matches; Guastatoya are 7th (lower half) with 31.
Current form
Municipal, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Guastatoya, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Guastatoya, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Municipal, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Municipal, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Guastatoya.
Head to head
When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Guastatoya 0–1 Municipal. The last 2 head-to-heads: Municipal 1 win, Guastatoya 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Municipal 1.7 xG, Guastatoya 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal 64%, draw 24%, Guastatoya 12%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal 1–0 Guastatoya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Municipal64%fair 1.57 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.90
Guastatoya12%fair 8.52 · @8.20
2.34Expected goals
1.73Municipal xG
0.61Guastatoya xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Municipal 1.7 – 0.6 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Municipal
Guastatoya
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+6%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-38%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.61
0.58
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Municipal vs Guastatoya?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Municipal vs Guastatoya?
On our numbers Municipal have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guastatoya 12%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal vs Guastatoya?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal vs Guastatoya?
Our predicted score is Municipal 1–0 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Municipal vs Guastatoya?
Municipal vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
