Cruz Azul W 29%Draw 20%Monterrey W 51%Expected goals 1.28 – 2.21
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Monterrey W to win @ 2.45 – our chance 51% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMonterrey W to win ✗51% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Cruz Azul W vs Monterrey W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cruz Azul W welcome Monterrey W to Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1 for a Liga MX Femenil fixture on Thursday 30 April (02:00 WAT). In the table, Cruz Azul W are 12th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Monterrey W are 2nd (among the top four) with 37. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cruz Azul W, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Toluca W, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Monterrey W, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Tigres UANL W, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruz Azul W 1.3 xG, Monterrey W 2.2 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruz Azul W 29%, draw 20%, Monterrey W 51%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Monterrey W to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruz Azul W 1–2 Monterrey W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruz Azul W29%fair 3.44 · @2.50
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.80
Monterrey W51%fair 1.96 · @2.45
3.48Expected goals
1.28Cruz Azul W xG
2.21Monterrey W xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul W 1.3 – 2.2 Monterrey W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cruz Azul W
Monterrey W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-13%
+67%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
-34%
Our expected goals here
1.07
2.70
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monterrey W to win✗
51%
1.96
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Draw no bet
Monterrey W (draw no bet)
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Cruz Azul W +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
First team to score
Monterrey W to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Monterrey W ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monterrey W / FT Monterrey W✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
Cruz Azul W – last 6
WLWWWD
5 Apr
@ Toluca W
4–0
W
2 Apr
@ Atlético San Luis W
2–3
L
18 Mar
@ Santos Laguna W
2–0
W
12 Mar
vs Necaxa W
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Atlas W
6–4
W
15 Feb
@ Tijuana W
1–1
D
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Monterrey W – last 6
LDWWDW
25 Apr
vs Tigres UANL W
0–3
L
6 Apr
@ Juárez W
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Pumas UNAM W
3–0
W
28 Mar
@ Pachuca W
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs Guadalajara W
0–0
D
17 Mar
@ Atlas W
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruz Azul W and Monterrey W.
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul W vs Monterrey W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Cruz Azul W vs Monterrey W?
On our numbers Cruz Azul W have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Monterrey W 51%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul W vs Monterrey W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul W vs Monterrey W?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul W 1–2 Monterrey W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul W vs Monterrey W?
Cruz Azul W vs Monterrey W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
