Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 1 May the Liga MX Femenil brings Toluca W against Tigres UANL W. Kick-off: 04:00 WAT. In the table, Toluca W are 6th, upper half, on 27 points after 14 matches; Tigres UANL W are 3rd (among the top four) with 35.
Current form
Toluca W, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Guadalajara W, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Tigres UANL W, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Monterrey W, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tigres UANL W, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Toluca W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toluca W 1.6 xG, Tigres UANL W 2.1 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toluca W 37%, draw 20%, Tigres UANL W 43%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toluca W 1–2 Tigres UANL W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toluca W37%fair 2.68 · @1.48
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @4.60
Tigres UANL W43%fair 2.33 · @5.70
3.70Expected goals
1.57Toluca W xG
2.13Tigres UANL W xG
69%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
2–16%
1–36%
0–26%
From our goals model: Toluca W 1.6 – 2.1 Tigres UANL W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Toluca W
Tigres UANL W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
+17%
+68%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-37%
Our expected goals here
1.37
2.66
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres UANL W to win✗
43%
2.33
5.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.44
1.44
Draw no bet
Tigres UANL W (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Toluca W +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
First team to score
Tigres UANL W to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Tigres UANL W ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigres UANL W / FT Tigres UANL W✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.35
–
Recent results
Toluca W – last 6
DLDWWL
25 Apr
@ Guadalajara W
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Cruz Azul W
0–4
L
1 Apr
@ León W
3–3
D
28 Mar
@ Mazatlán W
3–2
W
21 Mar
vs Necaxa W
5–1
W
17 Mar
@ América W
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tigres UANL W – last 6
WDWLWW
25 Apr
@ Monterrey W
3–0
W
6 Apr
vs Guadalajara W
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ Tijuana W
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs América W
0–1
L
23 Mar
@ Atlético San Luis W
2–0
W
16 Mar
vs Querétaro W
6–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toluca W and Tigres UANL W.
What is the prediction for Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W?
On our numbers Toluca W have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tigres UANL W 43%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W?
Our predicted score is Toluca W 1–2 Tigres UANL W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W?
Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
