Monterrey W 64%Draw 19%Cruz Azul W 17%Expected goals 2.52 – 1.04
83%
Betarazi pick
Monterrey W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Monterrey W to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMonterrey W to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceMonterrey W or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the Liga MX Femenil brings Monterrey W against Cruz Azul W at Cancha El Barrial. Kick-off: 01:15 WAT. In the table, Monterrey W are 2nd, among the top four, on 37 points after 14 matches; Cruz Azul W are 12th (lower half) with 18. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Monterrey W, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cruz Azul W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cruz Azul W, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Monterrey W, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul W, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Monterrey W.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Cruz Azul W 1–1 Monterrey W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monterrey W 2.5 xG, Cruz Azul W 1.0 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monterrey W 64%, draw 19%, Cruz Azul W 17%.
Lower-risk option: Monterrey W or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Monterrey W to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Monterrey W or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterrey W 2–1 Cruz Azul W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monterrey W64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @3.85
Cruz Azul W17%fair 5.78 · @3.70
3.56Expected goals
2.52Monterrey W xG
1.04Cruz Azul W xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Monterrey W 2.5 – 1.0 Cruz Azul W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Monterrey W
Cruz Azul W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
+67%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-34%
-1%
Our expected goals here
3.09
0.93
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our pick is Monterrey W or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W?
On our numbers Monterrey W have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Cruz Azul W 17%.
How many goals will there be in Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our predicted score is Monterrey W 2–1 Cruz Azul W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W?
Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Cancha El Barrial.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
