Tigres UANL W vs Toluca W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Monday 4 May: Tigres UANL W v Toluca W in the Liga MX Femenil, played at Estadio Universitario. In the table, Tigres UANL W are 3rd, among the top four, on 35 points after 14 matches; Toluca W are 6th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
Tigres UANL W, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Toluca W, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Toluca W, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tigres UANL W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Toluca W 2–1 Tigres UANL W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tigres UANL W 2.6 xG, Toluca W 1.1 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tigres UANL W 68%, draw 19%, Toluca W 13%.
Lower-risk option: Tigres UANL W or draw (87%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tigres UANL W to win (68%, odds 1.54 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigres UANL W 2–1 Toluca W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tigres UANL W68%fair 1.47 · @1.54
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @4.35
Toluca W13%fair 7.58 · @5.25
3.69Expected goals
2.61Tigres UANL W xG
1.08Toluca W xG
61%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Tigres UANL W 2.6 – 1.1 Toluca W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tigres UANL W
Toluca W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
+68%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-37%
-3%
Our expected goals here
3.04
1.20
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL W vs Toluca W?
Our pick is Tigres UANL W to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.54.
Who will win Tigres UANL W vs Toluca W?
On our numbers Tigres UANL W have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Toluca W 13%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres UANL W vs Toluca W?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres UANL W vs Toluca W?
Our predicted score is Tigres UANL W 2–1 Toluca W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Tigres UANL W vs Toluca W?
Tigres UANL W vs Toluca W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
