Value bet: Mineros de Zacatecas to win @ 4.20 – our chance 29% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTepatitlán to win ✗46% · @1.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 4 May the Liga De Expansión MX brings Tepatitlán against Mineros de Zacatecas. Kick-off: 02:05 WAT. In the table, Tepatitlán are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 15 matches; Mineros de Zacatecas are 10th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Tepatitlán, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mineros de Zacatecas, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Mineros de Zacatecas, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tepatitlán, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Mineros de Zacatecas 1–1 Tepatitlán. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tepatitlán 1 win, Mineros de Zacatecas 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tepatitlán 1.5 xG, Mineros de Zacatecas 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tepatitlán 46%, draw 25%, Mineros de Zacatecas 29%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Mineros de Zacatecas to win @4.20 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tepatitlán 1–1 Mineros de Zacatecas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tepatitlán46%fair 2.17 · @1.81
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.60
Mineros de Zacatecas29%fair 3.45 · @4.20
2.86Expected goals
1.48Tepatitlán xG
1.38Mineros de Zacatecas xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Tepatitlán 1.5 – 1.4 Mineros de Zacatecas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tepatitlán
Mineros de Zacatecas
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
-30%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+47%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.41
1.77
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
On our numbers Tepatitlán have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mineros de Zacatecas 29%.
How many goals will there be in Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Our predicted score is Tepatitlán 1–1 Mineros de Zacatecas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Tepatitlán vs Mineros de Zacatecas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
