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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Municipal Liberia v Deportivo Saprissa: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Costa-Rica · Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno

Municipal Liberia

WWWDW
1–1
FT

Deportivo Saprissa

WWDWD
Municipal Liberia 29%Draw 26%Deportivo Saprissa 45% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.45
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Saprissa to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.11

Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Municipal Liberia v Deportivo Saprissa in the Primera División, played at Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno.

Current form

Municipal Liberia, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sporting San Jose, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Deportivo Saprissa, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Puntarenas FC, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Mar 2026) it ended Municipal Liberia 1–1 Deportivo Saprissa. The last 2 head-to-heads: Municipal Liberia 0 wins, Deportivo Saprissa 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Municipal Liberia 1.1 xG, Deportivo Saprissa 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal Liberia 29%, draw 26%, Deportivo Saprissa 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal Liberia 1–1 Deportivo Saprissa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Municipal Liberia29%fair 3.39 · @3.35
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.35
Deportivo Saprissa45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
2.60Expected goals
1.14Municipal Liberia xG
1.45Deportivo Saprissa xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Municipal Liberia 1.1 – 1.5 Deportivo Saprissa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Saprissa to win ✗45%2.232.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.65
Draw no betDeportivo Saprissa (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapMunicipal Liberia +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%2.001.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreDeportivo Saprissa to score first ✗52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Saprissa / FT Deportivo Saprissa ✗26%3.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.11–

Recent results

Municipal Liberia – last 6

WWWDWW
22 Apr@ Sporting San Jose1–0W
18 Aprvs CS Cartagines1–0W
7 Aprvs San Carlos5–1W
26 Marvs Deportivo Saprissa1–1D
21 Mar@ Puntarenas FC1–0W
15 Mar@ CS Herediano2–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Saprissa – last 6

WWDWDW
26 Apr@ Puntarenas FC3–1W
23 Aprvs Guadalupe FC5–0W
20 Apr@ LD Alajuelense1–1D
16 Apr@ Sporting San Jose3–1W
26 Mar@ Municipal Liberia1–1D
23 Mar@ San Carlos3–1W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Mar 2026Municipal Liberia v Deportivo Saprissa1–1
15 Feb 2026Municipal Liberia v Deportivo Saprissa0–1
Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Saprissa161015+1631
2CS Cartagines161015+1231
3Sporting San Jose16934+730
4LD Alajuelense16853+1229
5San Carlos16826-226
6Inter San Carlos16556-620
7Puntarenas FC16547-619
8CS Herediano16439-515
9Escorpiones Belén164111-1213
10Perez Zeledon16259-1611

More Primera División predictions

League hub
FT CS Cartagines0 CS Herediano1 143%2.38X27%3.00230%2.88 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

On our numbers Municipal Liberia have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Saprissa 45%.

How many goals will there be in Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Our predicted score is Municipal Liberia 1–1 Deportivo Saprissa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.