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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Saprissa v Municipal Liberia: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Costa-Rica
Deportivo Saprissa 63%Draw 22%Municipal Liberia 14% Expected goals 1.86 – 0.87
66%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Saprissa to win ✓63% · @1.36
Double chanceDeportivo Saprissa or draw ✓86% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Deportivo Saprissa v Municipal Liberia in the Primera División.

Current form

Deportivo Saprissa, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Municipal Liberia, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Municipal Liberia, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Saprissa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Municipal Liberia 1–1 Deportivo Saprissa. The last 3 head-to-heads: Deportivo Saprissa 1 win, Municipal Liberia 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Saprissa 1.9 xG, Municipal Liberia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Saprissa 63%, draw 22%, Municipal Liberia 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Saprissa 1–0 Municipal Liberia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Saprissa63%fair 1.58 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.40
Municipal Liberia14%fair 6.90 · @7.20
2.73Expected goals
1.86Deportivo Saprissa xG
0.87Municipal Liberia xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Deportivo Saprissa 1.9 – 0.9 Municipal Liberia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Saprissa to win ✓63%1.581.36
Double chanceDeportivo Saprissa or draw ✓86%1.171.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.73
Draw no betDeportivo Saprissa (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapDeportivo Saprissa -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.521.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreDeportivo Saprissa to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultDeportivo Saprissa ahead at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Saprissa / FT Deportivo Saprissa ✓38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.19–

Recent results

Deportivo Saprissa – last 6

DWWDWD
3 May@ Municipal Liberia1–1D
26 Apr@ Puntarenas FC3–1W
23 Aprvs Guadalupe FC5–0W
20 Apr@ LD Alajuelense1–1D
16 Apr@ Sporting San Jose3–1W
26 Mar@ Municipal Liberia1–1D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Municipal Liberia – last 6

DWWWDW
3 Mayvs Deportivo Saprissa1–1D
22 Apr@ Sporting San Jose1–0W
18 Aprvs CS Cartagines1–0W
7 Aprvs San Carlos5–1W
26 Marvs Deportivo Saprissa1–1D
21 Mar@ Puntarenas FC1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Municipal Liberia v Deportivo Saprissa1–1
26 Mar 2026Municipal Liberia v Deportivo Saprissa1–1
15 Feb 2026Municipal Liberia v Deportivo Saprissa0–1
Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Saprissa161015+1631
2CS Cartagines161015+1231
3Sporting San Jose16934+730
4LD Alajuelense16853+1229
5San Carlos16826-226
6Inter San Carlos16556-620
7Puntarenas FC16547-619
8CS Herediano16439-515
9Escorpiones Belén164111-1213
10Perez Zeledon16259-1611

More Primera División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?

On our numbers Deportivo Saprissa have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Municipal Liberia 14%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Saprissa 1–0 Municipal Liberia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?

Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.