Value bet: Şanlıurfaspor to win @ 3.80 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMuğlaspor to win ✗44% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.92
Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Monday 4 May: Muğlaspor v Şanlıurfaspor in the 2. Lig.
Current form
Muğlaspor, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Şanlıurfaspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Şanlıurfaspor, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Muğlaspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Şanlıurfaspor 0–1 Muğlaspor. The last 2 head-to-heads: Muğlaspor 1 win, Şanlıurfaspor 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Muğlaspor 1.4 xG, Şanlıurfaspor 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Muğlaspor 44%, draw 26%, Şanlıurfaspor 30%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Şanlıurfaspor to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.77, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Muğlaspor 1–1 Şanlıurfaspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Muğlaspor44%fair 2.29 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.88
Şanlıurfaspor30%fair 3.30 · @3.80
2.73Expected goals
1.38Muğlaspor xG
1.35Şanlıurfaspor xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Muğlaspor 1.4 – 1.4 Şanlıurfaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
On our numbers Muğlaspor have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Şanlıurfaspor 30%.
How many goals will there be in Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
Our predicted score is Muğlaspor 1–1 Şanlıurfaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
Muğlaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor (2. Lig) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
