Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Maghreb Fès to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRaja Casablanca to win ✓36% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.50
Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 6 May the Botola Pro brings Maghreb Fès against Raja Casablanca. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Maghreb Fès are 6th, upper half, on 11 points after 7 matches; Raja Casablanca are 3rd (among the top four) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Maghreb Fès, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Hassania Agadir, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Raja Casablanca, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FAR Rabat, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Maghreb Fès, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.6 for Raja Casablanca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maghreb Fès 1.0 xG, Raja Casablanca 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maghreb Fès 34%, draw 30%, Raja Casablanca 36%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Maghreb Fès to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maghreb Fès 1–0 Raja Casablanca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maghreb Fès34%fair 2.93 · @3.20
Draw30%fair 3.33 · @2.80
Raja Casablanca36%fair 2.79 · @2.33
1.96Expected goals
1.01Maghreb Fès xG
0.95Raja Casablanca xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Maghreb Fès 1.0 – 0.9 Raja Casablanca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raja Casablanca to win✓
36%
2.79
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.62
Draw no bet
Raja Casablanca (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Raja Casablanca +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Maghreb Fès to score first✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.50
–
Recent results
Maghreb Fès – last 5
WDWDW
29 Apr
vs Hassania Agadir
4–0
W
5 Apr
@ Renaissance Berkane
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Olympique Dcheïra
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Kawkab Marrakech
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Yacoub El Mansour
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Raja Casablanca – last 5
LWDWD
30 Apr
@ FAR Rabat
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Hassania Agadir
1–0
W
25 Feb
@ Renaissance Berkane
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Ittihad Tanger
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs Yacoub El Mansour
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maghreb Fès and Raja Casablanca.
What is the prediction for Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca?
On our numbers Maghreb Fès have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Raja Casablanca 36%.
How many goals will there be in Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca?
Our predicted score is Maghreb Fès 1–0 Raja Casablanca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca?
Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca (Botola Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
