Value bet: Al Nasr to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Nasr to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceAl Nasr or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.07
Al Nasr vs Al-Ittihad Kalba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:10 WAT, Monday 11 May: Al Nasr v Al-Ittihad Kalba in the Pro League, played at Al Maktoum Stadium. In the table, Al Nasr are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 7 matches; Al-Ittihad Kalba are 9th (lower half) with 8. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Nasr, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Al-Ittihad Kalba, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Khorfakkan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al Nasr, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Al-Ittihad Kalba.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Nasr 2.0 xG, Al-Ittihad Kalba 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Nasr 60%, draw 23%, Al-Ittihad Kalba 17%.
Lower-risk option: Al Nasr or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Al Nasr to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Nasr 2–0 Al-Ittihad Kalba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Nasr60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.55
Al-Ittihad Kalba17%fair 5.76 · @4.00
2.91Expected goals
1.98Al Nasr xG
0.93Al-Ittihad Kalba xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al Nasr 2.0 – 0.9 Al-Ittihad Kalba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Nasr to win✓
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Al Nasr or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.60
Draw no bet
Al Nasr (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Al Nasr -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Al Nasr to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Al Nasr ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Nasr / FT Al Nasr✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Al Nasr – last 6
LWDWDD
6 May
@ Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1–2
L
24 Apr
vs Al-Jazira
3–2
W
18 Mar
vs Al Bataeh
1–1
D
11 Mar
@ Sharjah FC
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Dibba Al-Fujairah
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Khorfakkan
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al-Ittihad Kalba – last 6
DLDDLD
5 May
vs Khorfakkan
0–0
D
23 Apr
vs Baniyas SC
1–2
L
9 Apr
@ Al Wahda FC
2–2
D
17 Mar
vs Sharjah FC
2–2
D
11 Mar
@ Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1–5
L
26 Feb
vs Al-Dhafra
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Nasr and Al-Ittihad Kalba.
What is the prediction for Al Nasr vs Al-Ittihad Kalba?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al Nasr vs Al-Ittihad Kalba?
On our numbers Al Nasr have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al-Ittihad Kalba 17%.
How many goals will there be in Al Nasr vs Al-Ittihad Kalba?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Nasr vs Al-Ittihad Kalba?
Our predicted score is Al Nasr 2–0 Al-Ittihad Kalba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Al Nasr vs Al-Ittihad Kalba?
Al Nasr vs Al-Ittihad Kalba (Pro League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 15:10 (West Africa Time) at Al Maktoum Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
