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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Carabobo FC v Metropolitanos FC: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Venezuela · Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado
Sun 3 May 2026
Carabobo FC 54%Draw 26%Metropolitanos FC 19% Expected goals 1.53 – 0.94
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.35

8/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultCarabobo FC to win54% · @1.60
Double chanceCarabobo FC or draw81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.73

Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Metropolitanos FC travel to face Carabobo FC on Sunday 3 May in the Primera División, with Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Carabobo FC are 1st, leading the league, on 11 points after 5 matches; Metropolitanos FC are 3rd (among the top four) with 4.

Current form

Carabobo FC, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Blooming, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Metropolitanos FC, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Zamora FC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Metropolitanos FC 1–1 Carabobo FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Carabobo FC 1.5 xG, Metropolitanos FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Carabobo FC 54%, draw 26%, Metropolitanos FC 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carabobo FC 1–0 Metropolitanos FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Carabobo FC54%fair 1.84 · @1.60
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.70
Metropolitanos FC19%fair 5.19 · @4.80
2.48Expected goals
1.53Carabobo FC xG
0.94Metropolitanos FC xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%

From our goals model: Carabobo FC 1.5 – 0.9 Metropolitanos FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCarabobo FC to win54%1.841.60
Double chanceCarabobo FC or draw81%1.241.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.741.77
Draw no betCarabobo FC (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapMetropolitanos FC +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.381.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals52%1.941.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals73%1.381.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.12–
First team to scoreCarabobo FC to score first57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Carabobo FC / FT Carabobo FC31%3.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.73–

Recent results

Carabobo FC – last 6

WWLWDD
30 Aprvs Blooming2–0W
20 Aprvs Academia Anzoátegui6–3W
16 Apr@ River Plate0–1L
10 Aprvs RB Bragantino1–0W
3 Apr@ Deportivo La Guaira1–1D
23 Marvs Puerto Cabello1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Metropolitanos FC – last 6

DLWWWD
12 Aprvs Zamora FC0–0D
4 Apr@ Caracas FC0–1L
24 Marvs Academia Anzoátegui2–0W
19 Marvs Monagas SC1–0W
1 Mar@ Deportivo Tachira FC1–0W
20 Febvs Carabobo FC1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Feb 2026Metropolitanos FC v Carabobo FC1–1
Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metropolitanos FC261763+2657
2Deportivo Tachira FC261565+1851
3Deportivo La Guaira261286+1344
4Carabobo FC2610115+1441
5Puerto Cabello2610106+940
6Portuguesa FC269125+1039
7UCV261169+239
8Estudiantes de Merida FC261079+237
9Caracas FC267118-332
10Monagas SC268513-829
11Zamora FC266713-1525
12Rayo Zuliano267415-2125
13Trujillanos FC264616-2318
14Anzoátegui FC264517-2417

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC?

On our numbers Carabobo FC have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Metropolitanos FC 19%.

How many goals will there be in Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC?

Our predicted score is Carabobo FC 1–0 Metropolitanos FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC?

Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.