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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

UCV v Puerto Cabello: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Venezuela · Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

UCV

WLDLW
3–1
FT
UCV 34%Draw 26%Puerto Cabello 40% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.39
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultPuerto Cabello to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.67

UCV vs Puerto Cabello: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 10 May the Primera División brings UCV against Puerto Cabello at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, UCV are 10th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 13 matches; Puerto Cabello are 3rd (among the top four) with 6.

Current form

UCV, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Independiente del Valle, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Puerto Cabello, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cienciano, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Puerto Cabello, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for UCV.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended Puerto Cabello 3–0 UCV.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UCV 1.3 xG, Puerto Cabello 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – UCV 34%, draw 26%, Puerto Cabello 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCV 1–1 Puerto Cabello. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UCV34%fair 2.98 · @2.95
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.10
Puerto Cabello40%fair 2.50 · @2.30
2.67Expected goals
1.28UCV xG
1.39Puerto Cabello xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: UCV 1.3 – 1.4 Puerto Cabello expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPuerto Cabello to win ✗40%2.502.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.73
Draw no betPuerto Cabello (draw no bet) ✗54%1.84–
Asian handicapUCV +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.371.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scorePuerto Cabello to score first48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Puerto Cabello / FT Puerto Cabello ✗23%4.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.67–

Recent results

UCV – last 6

WLDLWL
6 Mayvs Independiente del Valle2–0W
29 Aprvs Rosario Central0–3L
20 Aprvs Deportivo Tachira FC1–1D
16 Apr@ Independiente del Valle1–3L
9 Aprvs Libertad Asuncion3–1W
17 Mar@ Puerto Cabello0–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Puerto Cabello – last 6

WDLWLW
6 Mayvs Cienciano3–0W
3 Mayvs Deportivo La Guaira1–1D
29 Apr@ Juventud0–4L
21 Aprvs Trujillanos FC3–1W
17 Apr@ Cienciano0–2L
9 Aprvs Atletico-MG2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Mar 2026Puerto Cabello v UCV3–0
UCV vs Puerto Cabello head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metropolitanos FC261763+2657
2Deportivo Tachira FC261565+1851
3Deportivo La Guaira261286+1344
4Carabobo FC2610115+1441
5Puerto Cabello2610106+940
6Portuguesa FC269125+1039
7UCV261169+239
8Estudiantes de Merida FC261079+237
9Caracas FC267118-332
10Monagas SC268513-829
11Zamora FC266713-1525
12Rayo Zuliano267415-2125
13Trujillanos FC264616-2318
14Anzoátegui FC264517-2417

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UCV vs Puerto Cabello?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win UCV vs Puerto Cabello?

On our numbers UCV have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Puerto Cabello 40%.

How many goals will there be in UCV vs Puerto Cabello?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UCV vs Puerto Cabello?

Our predicted score is UCV 1–1 Puerto Cabello, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is UCV vs Puerto Cabello?

UCV vs Puerto Cabello (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.