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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Carabobo FC v Estudiantes de Merida FC: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Venezuela · Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado

Carabobo FC

LLWWL
1–0
FT

Estudiantes de Merida FC

LWLWW
Carabobo FC 61%Draw 24%Estudiantes de Merida FC 14% Expected goals 1.80 – 0.76
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultCarabobo FC to win ✓61% · @1.45
Double chanceCarabobo FC or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50

Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Carabobo FC welcome Estudiantes de Merida FC to Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado for a Primera División fixture on Thursday 14 May (00:00 WAT). In the table, Carabobo FC are 1st, leading the league, on 11 points after 5 matches; Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th (in the drop zone) with 17.

Current form

Carabobo FC, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Deportivo Tachira FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Estudiantes de Merida FC, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Metropolitanos FC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Estudiantes de Merida FC 3–2 Carabobo FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Carabobo FC 1.8 xG, Estudiantes de Merida FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Carabobo FC 61%, draw 24%, Estudiantes de Merida FC 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carabobo FC 2–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Carabobo FC61%fair 1.63 · @1.45
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.85
Estudiantes de Merida FC14%fair 7.03 · @6.40
2.56Expected goals
1.80Carabobo FC xG
0.76Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Carabobo FC 1.8 – 0.8 Estudiantes de Merida FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCarabobo FC to win ✓61%1.631.45
Double chanceCarabobo FC or draw ✓86%1.171.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.85
Draw no betCarabobo FC (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapCarabobo FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.371.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.981.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreCarabobo FC to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultCarabobo FC ahead at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Carabobo FC / FT Carabobo FC ✗39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.50–

Recent results

Carabobo FC – last 6

LLWWLW
10 May@ Deportivo Tachira FC1–3L
8 Mayvs River Plate1–2L
30 Aprvs Blooming2–0W
20 Aprvs Academia Anzoátegui6–3W
16 Apr@ River Plate0–1L
10 Aprvs RB Bragantino1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Estudiantes de Merida FC – last 6

LWLWWL
9 May@ Metropolitanos FC0–2L
18 Marvs Carabobo FC3–2W
6 Marvs Deportivo La Guaira0–1L
28 Feb@ Puerto Cabello2–1W
23 Feb@ Academia Anzoátegui3–0W
13 Febvs Rayo Zuliano1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Mar 2026Estudiantes de Merida FC v Carabobo FC3–2
Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metropolitanos FC261763+2657
2Deportivo Tachira FC261565+1851
3Deportivo La Guaira261286+1344
4Carabobo FC2610115+1441
5Puerto Cabello2610106+940
6Portuguesa FC269125+1039
7UCV261169+239
8Estudiantes de Merida FC261079+237
9Caracas FC267118-332
10Monagas SC268513-829
11Zamora FC266713-1525
12Rayo Zuliano267415-2125
13Trujillanos FC264616-2318
14Anzoátegui FC264517-2417

More Primera División predictions

League hub
FT Puerto Cabello2 Portuguesa FC1 154%1.83X27%3.20219%4.20 1.5–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?

On our numbers Carabobo FC have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Estudiantes de Merida FC 14%.

How many goals will there be in Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?

Our predicted score is Carabobo FC 2–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?

Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.