Estudiantes de Merida FC 30%Draw 26%Metropolitanos FC 44%Expected goals 1.05 – 1.41
75%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Metropolitanos FC to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMetropolitanos FC to win44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.20
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estudiantes de Merida FC welcome Metropolitanos FC for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 24 May (22:00 WAT). In the table, Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 13 matches; Metropolitanos FC are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Estudiantes de Merida FC, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Carabobo FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Metropolitanos FC, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo Tachira FC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended Metropolitanos FC 2–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes de Merida FC 1.0 xG, Metropolitanos FC 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes de Merida FC 30%, draw 26%, Metropolitanos FC 44%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Metropolitanos FC to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes de Merida FC 1–1 Metropolitanos FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estudiantes de Merida FC30%fair 3.37 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.10
Metropolitanos FC44%fair 2.27 · @2.45
2.46Expected goals
1.05Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
1.41Metropolitanos FC xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–29%
From our goals model: Estudiantes de Merida FC 1.0 – 1.4 Metropolitanos FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
On our numbers Estudiantes de Merida FC have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Metropolitanos FC 44%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes de Merida FC 1–1 Metropolitanos FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Metropolitanos FC (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
