UCV vs Portuguesa FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Saturday 30 May: UCV v Portuguesa FC in the Primera División, played at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV. In the table, UCV are 10th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 13 matches; Portuguesa FC are 4th (among the top four) with 3. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
UCV, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Libertad Asuncion, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Portuguesa FC, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportivo La Guaira, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours UCV, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Portuguesa FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UCV 1.4 xG, Portuguesa FC 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UCV 44%, draw 26%, Portuguesa FC 30%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCV 1–1 Portuguesa FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UCV44%fair 2.27 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.20
Portuguesa FC30%fair 3.38 · @3.20
2.55Expected goals
1.43UCV xG
1.12Portuguesa FC xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: UCV 1.4 – 1.1 Portuguesa FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UCV to win✗
44%
2.27
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Draw no bet
UCV (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Portuguesa FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
UCV to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UCV / FT UCV✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
UCV – last 6
WLDDWW
27 May
@ Libertad Asuncion
1–0
W
19 May
@ Rosario Central
0–4
L
16 May
@ Deportivo La Guaira
0–0
D
13 May
vs Deportivo La Guaira
1–1
D
10 May
vs Puerto Cabello
3–1
W
6 May
vs Independiente del Valle
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Portuguesa FC – last 6
LWLDDW
23 May
vs Deportivo La Guaira
0–2
L
17 May
vs Puerto Cabello
1–0
W
14 May
@ Puerto Cabello
1–2
L
21 Apr
@ Deportivo La Guaira
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Rayo Zuliano
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Zamora FC
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UCV and Portuguesa FC.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win UCV vs Portuguesa FC?
On our numbers UCV have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Portuguesa FC 30%.
How many goals will there be in UCV vs Portuguesa FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCV vs Portuguesa FC?
Our predicted score is UCV 1–1 Portuguesa FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is UCV vs Portuguesa FC?
UCV vs Portuguesa FC (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
