Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Tachira FC to win ✓68% · @1.28
Double chanceDeportivo Tachira FC or draw ✓89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Sunday 31 May: Deportivo Tachira FC v Estudiantes de Merida FC in the Primera División, played at Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo. In the table, Deportivo Tachira FC are 1st, leading the league, on 15 points after 5 matches; Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th (in the drop zone) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Deportivo Tachira FC, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Carabobo FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Estudiantes de Merida FC, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Carabobo FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Deportivo Tachira FC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Estudiantes de Merida FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Tachira FC 2.0 xG, Estudiantes de Merida FC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Tachira FC 68%, draw 21%, Estudiantes de Merida FC 11%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Tachira FC 2–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Tachira FC68%fair 1.48 · @1.28
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @4.60
Estudiantes de Merida FC11%fair 8.95 · @10.80
2.77Expected goals
2.02Deportivo Tachira FC xG
0.75Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–16%
From our goals model: Deportivo Tachira FC 2.0 – 0.7 Estudiantes de Merida FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Tachira FC to win✓
68%
1.48
1.28
Double chance
Deportivo Tachira FC or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportivo Tachira FC (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Tachira FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Deportivo Tachira FC to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Deportivo Tachira FC ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Tachira FC / FT Deportivo Tachira FC✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Deportivo Tachira FC – last 6
DWDWDL
24 May
@ Carabobo FC
1–1
D
17 May
@ Metropolitanos FC
1–0
W
12 May
vs Metropolitanos FC
1–1
D
10 May
vs Carabobo FC
3–1
W
20 Apr
@ UCV
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Deportivo La Guaira
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Estudiantes de Merida FC – last 6
LLLWLW
17 May
vs Carabobo FC
0–2
L
14 May
@ Carabobo FC
0–1
L
9 May
@ Metropolitanos FC
0–2
L
18 Mar
vs Carabobo FC
3–2
W
6 Mar
vs Deportivo La Guaira
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Puerto Cabello
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Tachira FC and Estudiantes de Merida FC.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
On our numbers Deportivo Tachira FC have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Estudiantes de Merida FC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Tachira FC 2–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
