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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fenix v Oriental: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
Fenix 37%Draw 27%Oriental 36% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.23
57%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultFenix to win ✓37% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 9.58

Fenix vs Oriental: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Fenix welcome Oriental for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 3 May (00:30 WAT). In the table, Fenix are 11th, lower half, on 31 points after 25 matches; Oriental are 6th (upper half) with 34. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Fenix, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Atenas, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Oriental, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rentistas, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fenix 1.3 xG, Oriental 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fenix 37%, draw 27%, Oriental 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenix 1–1 Oriental. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fenix37%fair 2.72 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.00
Oriental36%fair 2.77 · @2.50
2.50Expected goals
1.27Fenix xG
1.23Oriental xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Fenix 1.3 – 1.2 Oriental expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

FenixOriental
Attack vs Segunda División average-4%+10%
Goals conceded vs average+7%+2%
Our expected goals here1.281.19

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFenix to win ✓37%2.722.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.85–
Draw no betFenix (draw no bet) ✓50%1.98–
Asian handicapOriental +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreFenix to score first ✓47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fenix / FT Fenix ✗22%4.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10%9.58–

Recent results

Fenix – last 3

WWD
27 Apr@ Atenas4–1W
5 Aprvs Tacuarembo3–2W
15 Mar@ Uruguay Montevideo1–1D
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Oriental – last 3

WWD
20 Apr@ Rentistas2–1W
12 Aprvs Miramar2–1W
23 Marvs Colón0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Fenix and Oriental.

Fenix vs Oriental head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fenix vs Oriental?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Fenix vs Oriental?

On our numbers Fenix have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Oriental 36%.

How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Oriental?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Oriental?

Our predicted score is Fenix 1–1 Oriental, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Fenix vs Oriental?

Fenix vs Oriental (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.