Croatia U19 vs Italy U19: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Thursday 2 July: Croatia U19 v Italy U19 in the UEFA U19 Championship, played at The Oval.
Current form
Croatia U19, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Ukraine U19, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Italy U19, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Serbia U19, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Italy U19, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Croatia U19.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Croatia U19 1.1 xG, Italy U19 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Croatia U19 29%, draw 27%, Italy U19 43%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Croatia U19 1–1 Italy U19. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Croatia U1929%fair 3.39 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.30
Italy U1943%fair 2.32 · @2.05
2.49Expected goals
1.14Croatia U19 xG
1.36Italy U19 xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Croatia U19 1.1 – 1.4 Italy U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Italy U19 to win✗
43%
2.32
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.67
Draw no bet
Italy U19 (draw no bet)
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Croatia U19 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Italy U19 to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Italy U19 / FT Italy U19✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Croatia U19 – last 6
LDWWDW
29 Jun
vs Ukraine U19
1–3
L
31 Mar
@ France U19
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs Norway U19
1–0
W
25 Mar
vs Switzerland U19
4–1
W
19 Feb
vs Czech Republic U19
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Latvia U19
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Italy U19 – last 3
WDW
29 Jun
vs Serbia U19
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Turkey U19
1–1
D
25 Mar
vs Hungary U19
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Croatia U19 and Italy U19.
What is the prediction for Croatia U19 vs Italy U19?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Croatia U19 vs Italy U19?
On our numbers Croatia U19 have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Italy U19 43%.
How many goals will there be in Croatia U19 vs Italy U19?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Croatia U19 vs Italy U19?
Our predicted score is Croatia U19 1–1 Italy U19, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Croatia U19 vs Italy U19?
Croatia U19 vs Italy U19 (UEFA U19 Championship) kicks off on Thursday 2 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at The Oval.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.