Ukraine U19 vs Italy U19: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 5 July: Ukraine U19 v Italy U19 in the UEFA U19 Championship, played at Nantporth Stadium.
Current form
Ukraine U19, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Serbia U19, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Italy U19, last 4: DWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Croatia U19, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ukraine U19, collecting 2.6 points per game to 2.0 for Italy U19.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ukraine U19 1.1 xG, Italy U19 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ukraine U19 29%, draw 28%, Italy U19 44%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ukraine U19 1–1 Italy U19. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ukraine U1929%fair 3.49 · @3.65
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @3.45
Italy U1944%fair 2.30 · @1.85
2.25Expected goals
1.09Ukraine U19 xG
1.16Italy U19 xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ukraine U19 1.1 – 1.2 Italy U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Italy U19 to win✗
44%
2.30
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.77
Draw no bet
Italy U19 (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Ukraine U19 +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Italy U19 to score first✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Italy U19 / FT Italy U19✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.96
–
Recent results
Ukraine U19 – last 5
WWDWW
2 Jul
@ Serbia U19
2–1
W
29 Jun
@ Croatia U19
3–1
W
31 Mar
@ Romania U19
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs Kazakhstan U19
3–0
W
25 Mar
vs Northern Ireland U19
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Italy U19 – last 4
DWDW
2 Jul
@ Croatia U19
0–0
D
29 Jun
vs Serbia U19
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Turkey U19
1–1
D
25 Mar
vs Hungary U19
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ukraine U19 and Italy U19.
What is the prediction for Ukraine U19 vs Italy U19?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ukraine U19 vs Italy U19?
On our numbers Ukraine U19 have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Italy U19 44%.
How many goals will there be in Ukraine U19 vs Italy U19?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ukraine U19 vs Italy U19?
Our predicted score is Ukraine U19 1–1 Italy U19, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ukraine U19 vs Italy U19?
Ukraine U19 vs Italy U19 (UEFA U19 Championship) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Nantporth Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serbia U190
Croatia U193