Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: BFA to win @ 2.90 – our chance 43% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBFA to win ✓43% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.44
BFA vs Garliava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 19 May the Cup brings BFA against Garliava at Sirvintu stadionas. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Current form
BFA, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Babrungas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Garliava, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Ekranas, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BFA 1.8 xG, Garliava 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BFA 43%, draw 24%, Garliava 33%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: BFA to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: BFA 1–1 Garliava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BFA43%fair 2.34 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.25
Garliava33%fair 3.04 · @2.15
3.04Expected goals
1.79BFA xG
1.25Garliava xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: BFA 1.8 – 1.2 Garliava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BFA to win✓
43%
2.34
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.65
Draw no bet
BFA (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Garliava +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
BFA to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BFA / FT BFA✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
BFA – last 6
LWWDWL
1 May
@ Babrungas
0–4
L
28 Apr
vs Babrungas
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Neptūną Klaipėda
3–1
W
4 Apr
vs Dainava
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs FA Šiauliai II
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Be1 NFA
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Garliava – last 5
WWLLW
2 May
vs Ekranas
3–1
W
29 Apr
@ Alternatyvus FK
3–0
W
24 Apr
@ Babrungas
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Tauras
0–2
L
17 Mar
@ Neptūną Klaipėda
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BFA and Garliava.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win BFA vs Garliava?
On our numbers BFA have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Garliava 33%.
How many goals will there be in BFA vs Garliava?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFA vs Garliava?
Our predicted score is BFA 1–1 Garliava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is BFA vs Garliava?
BFA vs Garliava (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sirvintu stadionas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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