Value bet: Águia de Marabá to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPaysandu to win ✓38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.66
Águia de Marabá vs Paysandu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 6 May the brings Águia de Marabá against Paysandu at Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT.
Current form
Águia de Marabá, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Porto Velho, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Paysandu, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Trem, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Águia de Marabá, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Paysandu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Águia de Marabá 1.6 xG, Paysandu 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 50% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Águia de Marabá 37%, draw 25%, Paysandu 38%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Águia de Marabá to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Águia de Marabá 1–1 Paysandu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Águia de Marabá37%fair 2.69 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.20
Paysandu38%fair 2.65 · @2.15
3.01Expected goals
1.59Águia de Marabá xG
1.42Paysandu xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Águia de Marabá 1.6 – 1.4 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paysandu to win✓
38%
2.65
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Paysandu (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Paysandu +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Águia de Marabá to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águia de Marabá / FT Águia de Marabá✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.66
–
Recent results
Águia de Marabá – last 6
DWWWWL
29 Apr
@ Porto Velho
1–1
D
16 Apr
vs Remo
2–1
W
7 Apr
vs Galvez
3–2
W
31 Mar
@ Amazonas
2–0
W
26 Mar
@ Monte Roraima
4–2
W
19 Mar
@ Juventude
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Paysandu – last 6
WLWLWL
29 Apr
@ Trem
3–0
W
22 Apr
vs Vasco DA Gama
0–2
L
15 Apr
vs Independência
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Nacional AM
0–7
L
5 Apr
@ Volta Redonda
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ Guaporé
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águia de Marabá and Paysandu.
What is the prediction for Águia de Marabá vs Paysandu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Águia de Marabá vs Paysandu?
On our numbers Águia de Marabá have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Paysandu 38%.
How many goals will there be in Águia de Marabá vs Paysandu?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águia de Marabá vs Paysandu?
Our predicted score is Águia de Marabá 1–1 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Águia de Marabá vs Paysandu?
Águia de Marabá vs Paysandu () kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
