CD Olimpia vs CD Marathon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:15 WAT, Thursday 7 May: CD Olimpia v CD Marathon in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles. In the table, CD Olimpia are 1st, leading the league, on 33 points after 14 matches; CD Marathon are 3rd (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
CD Olimpia, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Platense FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
CD Marathon, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atlético Choloma, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours CD Olimpia, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for CD Marathon.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended CD Olimpia 2–1 CD Marathon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Olimpia 1.7 xG, CD Marathon 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Olimpia 58%, draw 25%, CD Marathon 17%.
Lower-risk option: CD Olimpia or draw (83%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Olimpia 1–0 CD Marathon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Olimpia58%fair 1.73 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.20
CD Marathon17%fair 5.87 · @4.50
2.61Expected goals
1.75CD Olimpia xG
0.86CD Marathon xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: CD Olimpia 1.7 – 0.9 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Olimpia vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win CD Olimpia vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers CD Olimpia have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CD Marathon 17%.
How many goals will there be in CD Olimpia vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Olimpia vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is CD Olimpia 1–0 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CD Olimpia vs CD Marathon?
CD Olimpia vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 03:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
