CD Motagua vs Olancho: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the Liga Nacional brings CD Motagua against Olancho at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, CD Motagua are 4th, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; Olancho are 7th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
CD Motagua, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Génesis, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Olancho, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Génesis, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Olancho, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for CD Motagua.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Olancho 0–0 CD Motagua. The last 2 head-to-heads: CD Motagua 0 wins, Olancho 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Motagua 1.6 xG, Olancho 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Motagua 53%, draw 27%, Olancho 20%.
Lower-risk option: CD Motagua or draw (80%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Motagua 1–0 Olancho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Motagua53%fair 1.89 · @1.68
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.75
Olancho20%fair 4.92 · @4.20
2.51Expected goals
1.60CD Motagua xG
0.92Olancho xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 1.6 – 0.9 Olancho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Olancho?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Olancho 20%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Olancho?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Olancho?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 1–0 Olancho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Olancho?
CD Motagua vs Olancho (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
