Olancho vs CD Motagua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 13 May the Liga Nacional brings Olancho against CD Motagua at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Olancho are 7th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; CD Motagua are 4th (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
Olancho, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over CD Motagua, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
CD Motagua, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Olancho, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Olancho, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for CD Motagua.
Head to head
When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended CD Motagua 1–2 Olancho. The last 3 head-to-heads: Olancho 1 win, CD Motagua 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olancho 1.2 xG, CD Motagua 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olancho 34%, draw 27%, CD Motagua 39%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olancho 1–1 CD Motagua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olancho34%fair 2.95 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.45
CD Motagua39%fair 2.59 · @2.35
2.47Expected goals
1.16Olancho xG
1.30CD Motagua xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Olancho 1.2 – 1.3 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Olancho vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers Olancho have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CD Motagua 39%.
How many goals will there be in Olancho vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olancho vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is Olancho 1–1 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Olancho vs CD Motagua?
Olancho vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
