CD Motagua 63%Draw 22%Génesis 15%Expected goals 1.91 – 0.84
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultCD Motagua to win ✓63% · @1.40
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✓85% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.21
CD Motagua vs Génesis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Génesis travel to face CD Motagua on Tuesday 19 May in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, CD Motagua are 4th, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; Génesis are 8th (lower half) with 15. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CD Motagua, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Olancho, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Génesis, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Olancho, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Génesis, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for CD Motagua.
Head to head
When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Génesis 1–1 CD Motagua. The last 2 head-to-heads: CD Motagua 1 win, Génesis 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Motagua 1.9 xG, Génesis 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Motagua 63%, draw 22%, Génesis 15%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Motagua 1–0 Génesis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Motagua63%fair 1.58 · @1.40
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @4.40
Génesis15%fair 6.78 · @6.50
2.75Expected goals
1.91CD Motagua xG
0.84Génesis xG
54%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 1.9 – 0.8 Génesis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Génesis?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Génesis 15%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Génesis?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Génesis?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 1–0 Génesis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Génesis?
CD Motagua vs Génesis (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
