Value bet: Hull City to win @ 2.98 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHull City to win ✗39% · @2.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Hull City vs Millwall: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Millwall travel to face Hull City on Friday 8 May in the Championship, with MKM Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Hull City, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Norwich, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Millwall, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Oxford United, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Millwall, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Hull City.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Hull City 1–3 Millwall.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hull City 1.4 xG, Millwall 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hull City 39%, draw 27%, Millwall 35%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Hull City to win @2.98 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hull City 1–1 Millwall. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hull City39%fair 2.59 · @2.98
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.30
Millwall35%fair 2.89 · @2.32
2.46Expected goals
1.38Hull City xG
1.08Millwall xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Hull City 1.4 – 1.1 Millwall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Hull City vs Millwall?
On our numbers Hull City have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Millwall 35%.
How many goals will there be in Hull City vs Millwall?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Millwall?
Our predicted score is Hull City 1–1 Millwall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hull City vs Millwall?
Hull City vs Millwall (Championship) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at MKM Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
