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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Millwall v Hull City: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · The Den
0–2
FT
Millwall 50%Draw 27%Hull City 24% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.07
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMillwall to win ✗50% · @1.71
Double chanceMillwall or draw ✗76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67

Millwall vs Hull City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Monday 11 May: Millwall v Hull City in the Championship, played at The Den.

Current form

Millwall, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hull City, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Hull City, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Millwall, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Hull City 0–0 Millwall. The last 2 head-to-heads: Millwall 1 win, Hull City 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Millwall 1.3 xG, Hull City 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Millwall 50%, draw 27%, Hull City 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Millwall or draw (76%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millwall 1–1 Hull City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Millwall50%fair 2.02 · @1.71
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.60
Hull City24%fair 4.18 · @4.80
2.40Expected goals
1.33Millwall xG
1.07Hull City xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: Millwall 1.3 – 1.1 Hull City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMillwall to win ✗50%2.021.71
Double chanceMillwall or draw ✗76%1.311.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.801.95 ▲
Draw no betMillwall (draw no bet) ✗67%1.48–
Asian handicapHull City +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.801.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.08
First team to scoreMillwall to score first ✗50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Millwall / FT Millwall ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.67–

Recent results

Millwall – last 6

DWWDLW
8 May@ Hull City0–0D
2 Mayvs Oxford United2–0W
21 Apr@ Stoke City3–1W
10 Apr@ West Brom0–0D
6 Aprvs Norwich1–2L
3 Apr@ Middlesbrough2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Hull City – last 6

DWDDDW
8 Mayvs Millwall0–0D
2 Mayvs Norwich2–1W
21 Apr@ Leicester2–2D
6 Aprvs Coventry0–0D
3 Apr@ Oxford United1–1D
10 Mar@ Wrexham2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 May 2026Hull City v Millwall0–0
7 Mar 2026Hull City v Millwall1–3
Millwall vs Hull City head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Millwall vs Hull City?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Millwall vs Hull City?

On our numbers Millwall have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Hull City 24%.

How many goals will there be in Millwall vs Hull City?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Millwall vs Hull City?

Our predicted score is Millwall 1–1 Hull City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Millwall vs Hull City?

Millwall vs Hull City (Championship) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at The Den.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.