Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArarat-Armenia to win ✓66% · @1.25
Double chanceArarat-Armenia or draw ✓87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10
BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: BKMA v Ararat-Armenia in the Premier League, played at Football Academy Stadium. In the table, BKMA are 11th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 13 matches; Ararat-Armenia are 3rd (among the top four) with 29. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
BKMA, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Alashkert, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Ararat-Armenia, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to FC Noah, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BKMA 0.9 xG, Ararat-Armenia 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BKMA 13%, draw 20%, Ararat-Armenia 66%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: BKMA 0–1 Ararat-Armenia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BKMA13%fair 7.44 · @10.25
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @4.75
Ararat-Armenia66%fair 1.51 · @1.25
2.86Expected goals
0.90BKMA xG
1.95Ararat-Armenia xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: BKMA 0.9 – 2.0 Ararat-Armenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ararat-Armenia to win✓
66%
1.51
1.25
Double chance
Ararat-Armenia or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Ararat-Armenia (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Ararat-Armenia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Ararat-Armenia to score first✗
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Ararat-Armenia ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ararat-Armenia / FT Ararat-Armenia✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
BKMA – last 6
DWDDDL
2 May
vs Alashkert
2–2
D
23 Apr
@ Van
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Gandzasar
1–1
D
16 Apr
@ Shirak
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Shirak
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ FC Noah
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ararat-Armenia – last 6
LWDWLD
10 May
vs FC Noah
0–4
L
6 May
vs Pyunik Yerevan
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ FC Noah
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Shirak
4–0
W
16 Apr
vs FC Noah
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Alashkert
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BKMA and Ararat-Armenia.
What is the prediction for BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia?
On our numbers BKMA have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ararat-Armenia 66%.
How many goals will there be in BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia?
Our predicted score is BKMA 0–1 Ararat-Armenia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia?
BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Football Academy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
