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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Durango v Deportiva Venados: numbers & prediction

Liga Premier Serie A · Mexico · Estadio Francisco Zarco

Durango

LWDDW
0–0
FT
Durango 57%Draw 24%Deportiva Venados 20% Expected goals 1.87 – 1.13
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultDurango to win ✗57% · @1.64
Double chanceDurango or draw ✓80% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Durango vs Deportiva Venados: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportiva Venados travel to face Durango on Sunday 10 May in the Liga Premier Serie A, with Estadio Francisco Zarco the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT.

Current form

Durango, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Deportiva Venados, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Deportiva Venados, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Durango, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Deportiva Venados 2–1 Durango.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Durango 1.9 xG, Deportiva Venados 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Durango 57%, draw 24%, Deportiva Venados 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Durango or draw (80%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Durango 1–1 Deportiva Venados. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Durango57%fair 1.77 · @1.64
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.80
Deportiva Venados20%fair 5.10 · @4.50
3.00Expected goals
1.87Durango xG
1.13Deportiva Venados xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Durango 1.9 – 1.1 Deportiva Venados expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDurango to win ✗57%1.771.64
Double chanceDurango or draw ✓80%1.241.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.601.65
Draw no betDurango (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapDeportiva Venados +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.771.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.541.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreDurango to score first ✗59%1.69–
Half-time resultDurango ahead at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Durango / FT Durango ✗34%2.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Durango – last 6

LWDDWW
6 May@ Deportiva Venados1–2L
3 Mayvs Deportivo Zap2–1W
29 Apr@ Deportivo Zap0–0D
26 Aprvs Zacatepec 19481–1D
11 Aprvs Mineros de Fresnillo2–1W
4 Aprvs Reboceros La Piedad3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Deportiva Venados – last 5

WDDDW
6 Mayvs Durango2–1W
30 Aprvs Real Apodaca1–1D
22 Apr@ Tritons Vallarta1–1D
1 Mar@ Montañeses0–0D
13 Feb@ Héroes de Zaci4–1W
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 May 2026Deportiva Venados v Durango2–1
Durango vs Deportiva Venados head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Durango vs Deportiva Venados?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Durango vs Deportiva Venados?

On our numbers Durango have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportiva Venados 20%.

How many goals will there be in Durango vs Deportiva Venados?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Durango vs Deportiva Venados?

Our predicted score is Durango 1–1 Deportiva Venados, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Durango vs Deportiva Venados?

Durango vs Deportiva Venados (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Zarco.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.